Arrowheadlines: Way too early prediction has the Chiefs as finishing the regular season as AFC’s second-seed
Chiefs headlines for Wednesday, October 1
2. The Chiefs’ defense held the league’s No. 1 scoring offense to just 20 total points.
Baltimore entered Sunday’s game with the league’s top scoring offense at 37.0 points-per-game, scoring at least 30 points in each of their three games (and dropping 40 points in two of them). That all changed on Sunday, however, as the Chiefs held Baltimore to just 20 total points (and only 13 total points prior to the fourth quarter, when the game was well in-hand).
In fact, Baltimore has been held to 13 or fewer points entering the fourth quarter on just nine occasions since the beginning of the 2023 campaign (including the playoffs), marking a span of 42 games. The Chiefs are responsible for three of those instances, doing so in each of their last three matchups with Baltimore.
Kansas City owns the league’s No. 2 scoring defense over the last three weeks, holding the opposition to only 16.3 points-per-game. The Chiefs still own the top scoring defense in the NFL since the beginning of the 2023 campaign by a wide margin, too.
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Kansas City Chiefs: The gloom of an 0-2 start has dissipated at least somewhat, with the longstanding class of the AFC just one game back of the division lead. More important than where Kansas City stands now, however, is how it got here. Xavier Worthy’s return from a shoulder injury sustained in the opener single-handedly transformed a passing attack that couldn’t count on finding anything easy without him. With defenses having to account for Worthy’s speed downfield, a ripple effect is created in which other pass catchers can finally thrive over the middle and Mahomes can more comfortably beat the blitz. That doesn’t fully excuse the Chiefs from failing to clear their own bar in the first three weeks, but the lackluster production is easier to stomach knowing where things could be headed as Rashee Rice’s six-game suspension also approaches its expiration.
Kansas City Chiefs (2-2) – AFC West Winner / No. 2 Seed
It wasn’t long ago that the Chiefs were 0-2 and were trending towards becoming the latest Super Bowl loser to suffer a hangover season, but it’s now looking unlikely that the first playoff miss of the Patrick Mahomes era will happen in 2025.
Kansas City just picked up a statement 37-20 victory over the Ravens on Sunday, bringing the club back to .500 in the process. The Chiefs are now well-positioned to take control of the AFC West with a soft schedule that includes winnable meetings against the Jaguars, Raiders and Commanders over the next month.
If they come out their Week 6 clash with the Lions—a potential Super Bowl preview—with a W, the Chiefs will continue their reign as the AFC’s team to beat.
Kansas City Chiefs
: Chris Jones, DTThe three-time All-Pro is the only dominant pass rusher on the Chiefs’ roster. Jones has amassed 81.5 sacks and 13 forced fumbles in 142 career games, utilizing a mix of power and finesse that makes him impossible to block at the line of scrimmage. As a “one-man” wrecking crew at the point of attack, the veteran sets the tone for a defense that relies on a blitz-heavy approach to disrupt the quarterback’s rhythm within the pocket.
Kansas City’s win shrinks the second tier
Major shakeups happened among second-tier contenders this week. Many of those changes stemmed from Kansas City’s impressive home win over Baltimore.
The Chiefs are back up to +950 (fifth in odds) after dropping to +1400 (sixth in odds) after Week 2. Slowly rising closer to its preseason number (+750), Kansas City looks dangerous as the roster gets healthy and Patrick Mahomes establishes a rhythm.
Thanks to its 1-3 start, Baltimore (+1000) dropped from second to sixth in the odds after the loss to the Chiefs. Injuries decimated the Ravens in the loss to Kansas City. Baltimore’s defense was down seven starters by the start of the fourth quarter. Lamar Jackson also exited the contest with a hamstring injury. The former MVP’s ongoing status remains uncertain.
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Overreaction or Reality: Overreaction
There is a chance Hill could return after his gruesome knee injury in the Dolphins’ win over the Jets, but the process of getting back to this level of play is going to be extremely long. Watching Hill on the ground was difficult, especially for a player who has been dominant catching the deep ball for over a decade.
Hill hasn’t been the same player for more than a year now, averaging just 58.3 receiving yards per game over his last two seasons. In his first two years in Miami, he averaged 106.3 yards per game. The decline was already happening before this injury.
Does this mean Hill will never see the field again? Tank Dell suffered a similar injury last season and still hasn’t returned.
Hill may not be the same player when he comes back, but it will be impressive if he does.
In case you missed it on Arrowhead Pride
Sunday was simply the latest example of his longstanding headache. As a starting quarterback, Jackson boasts a 74–32 record — but against Kansas City, he is now 1–6.
The Chiefs are a riddle the Ravens cannot solve. They are the villains who refuse to die.
But this time, it felt like it might be different. Kansas City was reeling from its worst start in more than a decade; there were serious questions on both offense and defense. Sure… Baltimore had injury concerns on defense — but this was still a team that was expected to be the class of the AFC. Las Vegas had listed the Ravens as a slight favorite in Kansas City, something that had only happened twice since Patrick Mahomes became the Chiefs’ starting quarterback.
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Faceoffs a focus through Jack Finley’s fight for NHL job with Lightning
The 23-year-old center leads all Tampa Bay forwards in faceoffs taken through five preseason games.
Jack Finley hasn’t had much time to rest in September, and that’s quite alright with him.
Finley played his team-high fourth game of the 2025 NHL preseason for the Tampa Bay Lightning on Tuesday as the 23-year-old forward tries to work his way onto the team’s opening night roster for the Oct. 9 regular season opener against the Ottawa Senators.
Following two training camps that saw the young forward deal with injuries, Finley is embracing the opportunity to win an NHL job this fall.
“I’ve come in this year trying to make the team,” Finley said… “For me, just having that mentality that you can't take a day off. You know they're always watching everything you do, and I just try and fit the role and look back and see what does this team need? I think for me it’s just playing hard and I think I still have another level to take, but I just try to work hard and play hard.”
The Lightning front office has received an extended peek at No. 62 this preseason, particularly in the middle of the ice. While he hasn’t registered a point, Finley has been seen on the penalty kill, including time as the lone forward at 3-on-5. On Tuesday in Orlando, he was quick to challenge a Panthers player in defense of teammate JJ Moser after the defenseman was boarded from behind.
Finley leads the team in faceoff wins (26) and faceoffs taken (52) this preseason, good for a 50% faceoff percentage. Tampa Bay is always looking to win more draws and has room at center ice after the offseason departure of longtime NHL faceoff expert Luke Glendening, whose 57% faceoff win percentage paced Tampa Bay in 2024-25.
Finley’s 6-foot-6 build and reach gives him an advantage in front of the net screening opposing goalies as well as in puck battles on the boards. He also uses it to his advantage when taking faceoffs, a skill he believes can separate him from other players in his push for a full-time NHL job. One number that sticks out on Finley’s faceoff sheet is in his own end—Finley has won 63% of his draws in the defensive zone this preseason.
“I take a lot of pride in faceoffs. I got a lot of opportunities the last three years in Syracuse to work on it, go out there and take big faceoffs. It's a big part of the game, especially when games are tight and you need to win a draw. So, it's something that I've really focused on, trying to dial that in and just having the mentality that every faceoff is important, every faceoff matters.”
Faceoffs have long been a strength of the second-round pick from the 2020 NHL Draft. The forward said former teammate and longtime captain of the Syracuse Crunch, Gabriel Dumont, was critical in his development as a go-to faceoff guy.
“He's another right-shot center, and he kind of made a career out of taking faceoffs,” Finley said of Dumont. “He taught me how important it is and how you can add minutes to your game by just being good on draws and on the PK, and he's helped me tremendously. We worked together a lot in practice in Syracuse, and I would give a lot of credit to him.”
Finley scored 14 goals and 28 points across 40 games for Syracuse in 2024-25, also making his NHL debut on Jan. 14 against the Boston Bruins. He spent much of his offseason focused on improving his skating, working with Lightning skating coach Barb Underhill this summer.
The forward also shared the ice in Kelowna, British Columbia with NHL players including Damon Severson, Joel Edmundson, Tanner Jeannot, Luke and Brayden Schenn as well as others.
Skating throughout the summer was a welcomed change for Finley after his previous two offseasons were disrupted by injuries.
“I haven't been able to skate at all the last two summers, and my first skate was at training camp. So for me to just stay on the ice all summer…working on skills, stuff around the net, faceoffs, my skating and my speed, I think just being able to stay on the ice all year-round is really helpful.”
Another young player at training camp, forward Conor Geekie, knows Finley well. The duo played together with the Winnipeg Ice of the Western Hockey League during the 2021-22 season before playing together last season in the AHL with the Crunch.
“He’s done nothing but get better,” Geekie said of Finley. “He's one of those guys that you want to play with and makes it super easy. He’s super good at faceoffs and good in the D-zone, but I think what goes unnoticed is he's got that offensive touch. You could see it last year in Syracuse…He's kind of got that all-around game that you want to play with and you want to be on the ice with him.”
Particularly in the faceoff circle, Geekie said Finley separates himself from the crowd.
“He's got a knack for it, and that's just what he's about. When he's on, he's one of the best, and even in practice you go against him and sometimes you just can't win. It's one of those things that he's done for however long, and he's obviously still doing it and still doing great.”
Over the years, Finley has watched and learned from NHL veterans including Ryan McDonagh, Victor Hedman, Pat Maroon, Nikita Kucherov and others.
While earning his NHL debut last year was a lifelong dream come true, becoming a full-time NHL player remains on his agenda. It could happen as soon as this year.
Opening day of the 2025-26 NHL season is approaching quickly, and Finley isn’t focused on outside headlines or projected lineups. Rather, he wants to control what he can control and stay focused on the details, much like when he lines up for a faceoff.
Finley plans to take it one day—one faceoff—at a time.
“It's taken a lot of development in Syracuse and adding things to my game and just becoming a professional off the ice,” he said. “I've worked my butt off my whole life to put myself in this position, and now it's just about executing and just trying my best.”