Patriots vs. Saints Prediction, Odds, Spread, Injuries, Trends for NFL Week 6

The New England Patriots are coming off one of the biggest upsets of the season, taking down their AFC East rival, the Buffalo Bills.
Now, they're trying to carry that momentum into their Week 6 game when they take on the New Orleans Saints, who are coming off their first win of the season, taking down the New York Giants.
Let's dive into the odds and my best bet for this interconference showdown.
Patriots vs. Saints Odds, Spread, and Total
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook
Spread
- Patriots -3.5 (-115)
- Saints +3.5 (-105)
Moneyline
- Patriots -210
- Saints +176
Total
- OVER 45.5 (-115)
- UNDER 45.5 (-105)
Patriots vs. Saints How to Watch
- Date: Sunday, Oct. 5
- Game Time: 1:00 pm ET
- Venue: Caesars Superdome
- How to Watch (TV): CBS
- Patriots Record: 3-2
- Saints Record: 1-4
Patriots vs. Saints Betting Trends
- Patriots are 4-2 ATS in their last six games
- The OVER is 8-4 in the Patriots' last 12 games
- Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. Saints
- Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games
- The UNDER is 7-1 in the Patriots' last eight games vs. NFC South opponents
- Saints are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games
- Saints are 1-5 straight up in their last six games vs. AFC opponents
Patriots vs. Saints Injury Reports
Patriots Injury Report
- Antonio Gibson, RB - Out
- K'Lavon Chaisson, LB - Questionable
- Keion White, DE - Questionable
- Layden Robinson, G - IR
- Isaiah Iton, DT - IR
Saints Injury Report
- Isaac Yiadom, CB - Questionable
- Chase Young, DE - Questionable
- Cesar Ruiz, C - Questionable
- Justin Reid, S - Questionable
- John Ridgeway III, DT - IR-R
Patriots vs. Saints Key Player to Watch
- Drake Maye, QB - New England Patriots
Drake Maye has gotten off to an unbelievably strong start to his sophomore season with the New England Patriots. Despite having limited weapons and a terrible offensive line, he has completed 73.9% of passes, averaging 252.2 passing yards per game, along with seven touchdowns through the air.
Patriots vs. Saints Prediction and Pick
I've been on the "Spencer Rattle isn't that bad" train for the past two weeks, and the Saints quarterback continues to climb up quarterback rankings, now ranking above the likes of Bo Nix, Justin Herbert, and Jayden Daniels in EPA+CPOE (expected points added + completion percentage over expected). With that being said, I don't have much faith in the Saints' defense, so I'm going to bet the OVER in their Week 6 game against the New England Patriots.
The Patriots are built to be the perfect OVER team. The Patriots rank 10th in EPA per play but 23rd in opponent EPA per play. When looking at the advanced metric called DVOA, these two defenses rank 27th and 29th. I'm surprised the total is set in the mid-40s, so give me the OVER.
Pick: OVER 45.5 (-115) via FanDuel
Kicker Will Reichard Faces Controversy After Missed Field Goal in Vikings' Loss to Browns

Will Reichard always shows up early on gameday to scout the field.
“Normally, I go out to the field and just kind of walk some lines,” he said in London. “So kind of going around to different spots on the field, trying to see if I were to kick from that spot in the game, where’s my target line going to be?”
Reichard usually tries to find an object in the stands, a pole or a number, to get a visual. Then, he’ll “take a couple of swings” on each side of the field. Reichard wants to be sure of his footing and sightlines.
However, he typically isn’t looking for a cable in the sky.
Maybe he should look next time.
In real time, it looked like Will Reichard toed his kick. With the Minnesota Vikings down 17-14 early in the fourth quarter, Reichard’s kick looked like it would tie the game. Instead, it suddenly lurched right, and the Cleveland Browns took over at their 41-yard line, ahead by three with 9:41 remaining in the game.
Nobody asked Kevin O’Connell or Reichard about his missed kick after the game. Carson Wentz led the Vikings on a 10-play, 80-yard game-winning drive, rendering Reichard’s miss meaningless.
It wasn’t until people started breaking down the tape of it like the Zapruder film that it became a topic. And, like the footage of John F. Kennedy’s assassination in 1963, it’s also inconclusive evidence.
“I didn’t notice anything during the game,” O’Connell said after the game. “That’s normally a pretty tough angle for us anyway.”
O’Connell said he typically knows whether a kick is good based on the crowd reaction. The Browns hosted Sunday’s game in Tottenham Stadium, but there was plenty of purple, enough to indicate whether Reichard made the kick.
Reichard and O’Connell thought it was a standard miss. A kicker’s motion is a little like a golf swing, where he keeps his head down initially. Therefore, Reichard may not have tracked the entire trajectory. Nobody in Minnesota’s replay booth alerted O’Connell to anything extraordinary. Had they done so, the Vikings could have asked for a re-kick.
“I did not see it in the moment,” said O’Connell. “I would defer to the league on whether that’s something that there should be some protocols in place that I should know about.”
Regardless of the miss, Reichard is eight of nine (88.9%) to start the season. He hit a 59-yard field goal in Chicago, which tied a Soldier Field record. He also converted a career-high 62-yarder against the Cincinnati Bengals before the Vikings went abroad.
Reichard said he liked playing in Dublin and London. He grew up in Alabama playing soccer and watching the Premier League, although he’s more of a Spanish soccer fan. Reichard has a friend from Hoover High School, Chris Richards, who plays for Crystal Palace in south London.
“It’s really cool to [play] in a stadium that I grew up watching soccer games being played,” Reichard said regarding Tottenham Hotspur Stadium.
Croke Park had extended sidelines because Gaelic football requires a larger field, and Reichard said he and the other specialists took advantage of it. The extra space allowed him more room to prepare throughout the game without crowding out other players.
“Sometimes it gets a little tight in tighter stadiums,” he said. “So, we had more than enough room to stretch, hit balls in the net, that kind of thing.”
Tottenham Stadium has NFL-regulation turf, and Reichard said it’s a good surface, even when it started drizzling there last year. Ultimately, it’s probably harder to kick in Chicago or Green Bay than in Dublin or London.
The bigger issue for Will Reichard is that he injured his quad in Week 9 last year and wasn’t as accurate after he returned in Week 14. He converted 14 of 16 (87.5%) kicks from Week 1 to Week 9, including four of five from 50-plus yards out. However, he was 10 of 14 (71.4%) after injuring his quad.
Special teams coordinator Matt Daniels believes that the physical stress of playing for Alabama, followed by the Senior Bowl, Combine, and draft process, wore on Reichard’s body.
“[If you] really look at it, I mean, this guy basically played 11 straight months of football without a break,” Daniels said in training camp. “[The quad injury] was probably due to over-kicking, over-exertion, really, just because of how much he did in January, February, March.”
In response, Daniels scaled back Reichard’s workload this season.
“The biggest thing is going into this year, he’s very conscious of how many reps we’re hitting,” said Daniels. “The distance of field goals that were hitting within practice. I couldn’t even tell you the last time we even attempted a 60-yard field goal in practice.”
Minnesota’s method has worked because Reichard was nearly perfect on the year. If only there weren’t that Spidercam cable hanging over his head, he might not have missed a kick before the bye.