BREAKING: BUFFALO IN DANGER? FALCONS READY TO GROUND JOSH ALLEN IN MONDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN
I really think this Monday Night Football matchup draws a lot of issues for the Buffalo Bills as they travel to Atlanta to take on the Falcons. The Bills were beaten for the first time this season last Sunday in a physically taxing home loss. The Falcons, on the other hand, are coming off a bye and have the home field advantage.
As 3.5 point home underdogs, the Falcons are going to look to control the football as much as possible. Conversely, this means Josh Allen and his Bills will have to make their possessions matter.
I’m combining my Falcons picks (here) and my Bills picks (here) for a +3300 mega parlay in the first of two Monday Night Football kickoffs.
Falcons Plays
This is a Bijan Robinson game. In the first month of the season he took home the hardware for the NFC offensive player of the month. He didn’t have a single game in which he finished with less than 100 yards from scrimmage. We are taking his rushing and receiving combined number.
Next, we like Tyler Allgeier. Allgeier is being disrespected tonight. In four games this season, he is averaging 11 carries for 39 yards and has found the end zone on more than one occasion. This Bills rushing defense ranks at the bottom of the league. I expect the game plan going in for Atlanta to be focused on keeping Josh Allen off the field. That is why we are taking Tyler Allgeir over 25+ rushing yards.
Lastly, we are backing Kyle Pitts. Pitts is averaging five catches and 50 yards a game. But tonight we are simply taking the receptions. With another receiver ruled out in Atlanta, I expect Pitts to be a security blanket for Michael Penix on third-and-gotta-have-it downs. I see him picking up short yardage targets.
Bijan Robinson o109.5 rushing and receiving yards
Tyler Allgeier 25+ rushing yards
Kyle Pitts o3.5 receptions
Bills Plays
The Falcons‘ defense has not been exposed yet this season. They have been a league best unit and I believe it’s going to take the Bills‘ best shot to beat them at home. That’s why we are backing the Bills‘ Big Three.
Firstly, James Cook over rushing yards. As goes James Cook, so go the Buffalo Bills. They were unable to get him going last week and the team suffered because of it. I expect a very focused effort to establish the running game and try to get the Falcons out of the zone defense they love to run. Last time out, the Falcons allowed ten yards per carry to opposing running backs. I expect the Bills to see this and try to expose it.
Next, we like Khalil Shakir. Nobody is better at stopping the tight end than the Falcons. With Kincaid facing an uphill battle and already beat up, I expect Shakir to be able to find the holes in the zone defense. He’s hit this number in back to back weeks and I don’t see that changing.
Finally, we are taking Josh Allen to run for just 25 yards. Atlanta’s pass rush is ferocious and Josh Allen hates to lose. I see him taking last week’s loss personally and putting the game on his shoulders to change their fate.
Khalil Shakir o4.5 receptions
James Cook o70.5 rushing yards
Josh Allen 25+ rushing yards
Combine these six plays for a monster parlay, or pick and choose your favorites to play straight.
Browns linked to very odd solution at QB to try and save the season
The Cleveland Browns have already designated their quarterback room as a major emergency in the middle of the 2025 season, as they have already benched Joe Flacco after four games and will ride with third-round pick Dillon Gabriel as Week 5 in London comes calling.
There are plenty of vocal fans out there who would like to see a veteran quarterback come to town via a trade to avoid the 2025 season fading away unceremoniously. There are seldom few who could actually be traded, but recently demoted New York Giants quarterback Russell Wilson is one of them.
When asked if any big-name quarterbacks could be on the move before the NFL trade deadline, ESPN's Jeremy Fowler listed Wilson by name as someone who could be on the move. Despite the Browns' youth movement, Fowler connected Wilson and Cleveland as a possible partner for the rest of 2025.
"Wilson would be the most sensible [trade] candidate," Fowler said in an intel drop alongside Dan Graziano. "Cleveland had some level of interest in Wilson before he signed with the Giants, and his $2 million base salary makes him very tradable."
NFL insider links Browns to weird Russell Wilson trade
Wilson has looked borderline unplayable in two of his three games with the Giants, but he did manage to throw for 450 yards in an overtime loss against the Cowboys that saw him turn back the clock to his Seattle days. In a vacuum, Wilson would be the best quarterback on the Cleveland roster.
Wilson's biggest issue as a quarterback, even during his prime, was taking too many sacks. Imagine pairing an older Russ that lacks his trademark mobility behind this Browns offensive line. A team like the Minnesota Vikings, their Week 5 opponent, would tee off on him.
Even if the Browns make a move for Wilson, what would be the point? This team is going nowhere fast, and they have two rookie quarterbacks in Gabriel and Shedeur Sanders who need game reps to see if they can stick long-term. Playing Wilson would only serve to get in the way of both of them. Why give up picks in a clear rebuilding year?
Wilson coming to the Browns would be bad for just about everyone involved, as it woudl put a declining player in a disadvantageous situation. Riding it out with the young guns will at least give this team a bit more clarity as it pertains to their future plans.
